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If all the ice on Earth melts, we know that average sea level will rise about 250 feet; it has happened before in Earth’s history. But how much sea level rise (SLR) might occur by 2050, or by 2100? That’s a tricky question to answer. As geologist Richard Alley notes:
“We just don’t know what the upper boundary is for how fast this can happen. We are dealing with an event that no human has ever witnessed before. We have no analogue for this.”
How is this uncertainty being factored into our decision-making? As recently as 2012 John Englander in his book, High Tide on Main Street noted:
“Currently there is still no sign that anyone in Florida is discounting the price of coastal real estate based on the slowly growing awareness that the shoreline will move significantly inland. At least for now, coastal property values continue to move with the larger real estate market.”
Trillions of dollars are at stake when it comes to anticipating the impacts of potential sea level rise on coastal real estate, port facilities, and other coastal assets. But there are big questions when it comes to assessing and responding to the risks of sea level rise:
- How will localized sea level rise differ from “global” sea level rise?
- What are the key uncertainties surrounding sea level rise?
- How rapidly have global seas risen during Earth’s history?
- Can we bound potential sea level rise by 2050 and 2100?
- Can we realistically assign probabilities to different sea level rise outcomes?
- How will sea level rise interact with precipitation and storm sturges under climate change?
- How fast will climate gentrification occur in response to sea level rise?
- Could sea level rise translate into a systemic climate risk?
- Could more accurate flood insurance premiums decimate local real estate values?
These are the kinds of questions the Climate Web, based on 20,000 hours of knowledge curation, can help you explore. This Lite Roadmap organizes some of the resources available to you.
Key Index Entries include:
- I:SLRSeaLevelRise (Deep Dive)
Key Topical Headings for books, reports, and journal articles:
- S - Florida SLR
- S - Impacts of SLR
- S - Risk Management for SLR
- S - Climate Change, Flooding and Flood Insurance
- S - Coastal SLR Adaptation/Resilience
- S - Economics of SLR
- S - SLR Vulnerability
Key Topical Headings for news and opinion:
- N - Antarctic Impacts
- N - Real Estate Values and Sea Level Rise
- N - Flood Insurance
- N - SLR Adaptation
- N - Visualizing Sea Level Rise
Key Topical Headings for extracted materials:
- E - Probabilistic SLR Estimates
- E - Real Estate Values and SLR
- E - Legal Implications of SLR
- E - Forecasting Sea Level Rise
Key Topical Headings for websites, experts, and more:
As a bonus, here are some recent additions to the Climate Web you might find thought-provoking that relate specifically to the topic of this Lite Roadmap. They represent just the smallest sliver of what’s organized in the Climate Web with the goal of facilitating access to your actionable knowledge. Note that links with “$$” sit behind paywalls and we can’t provide direct access. But we are always working to go through those sources to extract key idea and graphics to share under “fair use” copyright provisions.
- 2021 Pan_Rapid Post-Glacial Rebound Amplifies Global Sea Level Rise Following WAIS Collapse $$
- 2021 Edwards_Projected Land Ice Contributions to 21st Century Sea Level Rise $$
- 2021 deConto_The Paris Climate Agreement and Future Sea Level Rise from Antarctic $$
- 2021/5 Sea Level Rise with Bob Kopp
- 2021/4 Sea-level rise could submerge fiber optic cables, a key component of internet infrastructure
- 2021/4 ‘Impossible to adapt’: Surprisingly fast ice-melts in past raise fears about sea level rise
- 2021/2 Sea-level rise could threaten coastal nuclear waste facilities
- 2021/1 Global Ice Loss on Pace to Drive Worst-Case Sea Level Rise
NOTE: Accessing the Climate Web via Roadmap hyperlinks can be a bit disconcerting if you’re not familiar with TheBrain software’s basic functionality, which you can explore via the Basic Navigation link at right. If you do explore some of the links, please remember that Open Access to the Climate Web (via the cloud) is both much slower and less powerful than Premium Access to the Climate Web (which allows you to download the Climate Web to your computer AND take advantage of TheBrain’s superior desktop and mobile softwares).
To clearly see the differences between a Lite Topical Roadmap and a Premium Topical Roadmap, you can take a look at both versions of the Under-Estimating Climate Risks Roadmap:
The Premium Sea Level Rise Roadmap digs much deeper into the topics already flagged at the top of this page, among others. Representing hundreds of hours of research and knowledge curation, the Premium Roadmap links together together explanatory materials, topical headings, individual reports, news stories, videos, and websites, curated topical dashboards for exploring key topics, and even individual ideas and graphics the Climatographers have extracted from a wide range of key sources. The Premium Sea Level Rise Roadmap walks you through:
- Local vs. global sea level rise
- Historical sea level rise experience
- Proabilistic SLR assessments
- Bounding SLR by 2050 and 2100
- Key sea level rise uncertainties
- Regional vulnerabilities to sea level rise
- Climate gentrification as a response to sea level rise
- Flood insurance and sea level rise
- And much more
To get beyond Sea Level Rise 101 conversations, and to take advantage of today’s collective knowledge in this area: access the SLR Premium Roadmap here,
If you’re interested in a webinar or brainstorming session on the topics covered above, or a customized Topical Dashboard or Roadmap for a related topic, contact us!
You can review the Lite versions of more than 20 Topical Roadmaps, and access their respective Premium Roadmaps, through this Climate Site. We welcome your feedback on other Roadmaps you’d like to see.
Note: This Climate Site has been extracted from the Climate Web to make the material contained here easier to access; it represents just the smallest sliver of what you can do with the Climate Web. You can learn more through the links to the right, and:
To learn more about how the Climate Web is structured and its capabilities, use this Climate Site.
To learn more about how you can most effectively take advantage of the Climate Web, use this Climate Site.
(and we’ll send you a coupon for 50% off your first Premium Topical Roadmap!)